Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.268740 0.360733 0.468097 0.600731 0.758234 0.937411 1.154715
2026-02-01 0.137986 0.239905 0.379509 0.575771 0.835545 1.158897 1.582679
2026-02-08 0.079713 0.181633 0.344637 0.600999 0.970914 1.463150 2.144294
2026-02-15 0.042196 0.132375 0.302955 0.602254 1.069167 1.726905 2.678390
2026-02-22 0.025674 0.109878 0.294608 0.648459 1.233788 2.092739 3.374146
2026-03-01 0.014240 0.088203 0.278450 0.675679 1.369537 2.425702 4.044195
2026-03-08 0.006738 0.067386 0.254329 0.681190 1.467814 2.707515 4.655132
2026-03-15 0.002484 0.048761 0.225225 0.668517 1.530787 2.936562 5.198144
2026-03-22 0.000881 0.038056 0.210735 0.681020 1.636438 3.235832 5.856066
2026-03-29 0.000194 0.028599 0.193669 0.682856 1.720765 3.503528 6.475331
2026-04-05 0.000007 0.019544 0.170221 0.662945 1.759926 3.697201 6.986622
2026-04-12 NaN 0.013071 0.150077 0.644947 1.798838 3.890142 7.501676
2026-04-19 NaN 0.009326 0.138902 0.648998 1.884712 4.171632 8.174425
2026-04-26 NaN 0.005471 0.119688 0.624028 1.906666 4.342855 8.677627
2026-05-03 NaN 0.004265 0.117757 0.651485 2.044102 4.724869 9.535006
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002750 0.108730 0.653199 2.124169 5.006918 10.237208
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002451 0.113168 0.702340 2.315728 5.499335 11.299902
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001872 0.112013 0.731255 2.462518 5.914529 12.244400
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001167 0.105141 0.737143 2.555498 6.233143 13.035329
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000565 0.094264 0.723762 2.600615 6.463143 13.682419
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000327 0.090248 0.737006 2.711396 6.821000 14.554230
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000148 0.084104 0.738956 2.793639 7.126332 15.342384
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000033 0.073828 0.717890 2.814852 7.313622 15.931418